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ISIPTA '05 4th International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities and Their Applications Second Call for Papers
July 20-23, 2005 Carnegie Mellon University Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA http://www.sipta.org/isipta05
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The ISIPTA meetings are one of the primary international forums to present and discuss new results on the theory and applications of imprecise probabilities. Imprecise probability has a wide scope, being a generic term for the many mathematical or statistical models which measure chance or uncertainty without sharp numerical probabilities. These models include belief functions, Choquet capacities, comparative probability orderings, convex sets of probability measures, fuzzy measures, interval-valued probabilities, possibility measures, plausibility measures, and upper and lower expectations or previsions. Imprecise probability models are needed in inference problems where the relevant information is scarce, vague or conflicting, and in decision problems where preferences may also be incomplete.
Themes of the symposium -----------------------
Although the symposium will be open to contributions on all aspects of imprecise probability, three main themes will be emphasised: decision-making, algorithms, and real applications. Topics of interest include, but are not limited to:
models of coherent imprecise assessments convex sets of probability measures (credal sets) interval-valued probabilities upper and lower expectations or previsions non-additive set functions, and in particular Choquet capacities (and Choquet integration), fuzzy measures, possibility measures, belief and plausibility measures random sets rough sets comparative probability orderings qualitative reasoning about uncertainty imprecision in utilities and expected utilities limit laws for imprecise probabilities physical models of imprecise probability philosophical foundations for imprecise probabilities psychological models for imprecision and indeterminacy in probability assessments elicitation techniques for imprecise probabilities robust statistics probabilistic bounding analysis data mining with imprecise probabilities/missing data estimation and learning of imprecise probability models decision making with imprecise probabilities ambiguity aversion and economic models of imprecise probability uncertainty in financial markets algorithms for manipulating imprecise probabilities Dempster-Shafer theory information algebras and probabilistic argumentation systems probabilistic logic, propositional and first-order credal networks and other graphical models credal classification applications in statistics, economics, finance, management, engineering, computer science and artificial intelligence, psychology, philosophy and related fields
Workshop on Financial Risk Assessment ------------------------------------- There will be a workshop addendum to the conference, to be held on July 24, with invited speakers on the topic of financial risk assessment, to which all of the ISIPTA'05 participants are welcome, at no additional registration cost. Details will be announced later.
Location -------- ISIPTA '05 will be held at Carnegie Mellon University, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States.
Important dates --------------- (Note that we have moved the deadlines, as we moved dates a bit with the publisher!!) Paper submission deadline: February 25 2005 Notification of acceptance: April 15 2005 Deadline for revised papers: May 15 2005 Symposium: July 20-23 2005
Submissions and Proceedings --------------------------- We will accept papers only as PDF files with a limit of 8 pages in two-column format. Guidelines are available both in a PDF file and in a word file at the site http://www.sipta.org/isipta05/submit.html. The simplest way to produce an article that satisfies these requirements is to use Latex with the isipta2005.sty style, using guidelinesat the file isipta05.tex (or using this file as a template). Otherwise, use the file isipta2005.doc as template.
Submission is electronic. You should introduce paper data and attach the PDF file by using the submission page.
The Program Committee will decide which of the submitted papers are accepted, by carefully evaluating their originality, significance, technical soundness, and clarity of exposition. All the accepted papers will be included in a volume of proceedings, published by Brightdocs.
There will be free electronic access to the proceedings after some time. Before the conference, the electronic access will be restricted to the ISIPTA '05 attendees to allow them to study the papers in some detail before they are actually presented. Each accepted paper will be given the opportunity for both a brief oral presentation as well as a poster session.
Program Board ------------- Fabio Cozman (Universidade de Sao Paulo, Brazil) Robert Nau (Duke University, USA) Teddy Seidenfeld (Carnegie Mellon University, USA)
Steering Committee ------------------ Gert de Cooman (Universiteit Gent, Belgium) Fabio G. Cozman (Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil) Serafin Moral (Universidad de Granada, Spain) Robert Nau (Duke University, USA) Teddy Seidenfeld (Carnegie Mellon University, USA) Marco Zaffalon (IDSIA-Istituto Dalle Molle di Studi sull'Intelligenza Artificiale, Switzerland)
The members of the program committee are listed in the site www.sipta.org/isipta05.html.
Questions --------- If you have any questions about the symposium, please contact the Organising Committee preferably by email (teddy@stat.cmu.edu - fgcozman@usp.br), or at the following address:
Teddy Seidenfeld Department of Statistics Carnegie Mellon University Pittsburgh PA 15213 Phone: 412 - 268 - 2209 Fax: 412 - 268 - 1440
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